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Dollar surge or war premium? Here’s what the macro outlook says

Currency markets rarely send clear signals during geopolitical crises, but the latest dollar surge arrived at a moment when investors were already uneasy about inflation, interest rates and rising government debt. Then the Middle East conflict added another layer of uncertainty. For a few days, the dollar strengthened sharply, oil jumped, and markets rushed into

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USD/ZAR forecast as the South African rand suffers a harsh reversal

The USD/ZAR rebounded this week, reaching its highest level since December last year as the South African rand retreated amid the ongoing war in Iran. It was trading at 16.60 on Friday, up 6.45% from its lowest level this year. South African rand plunges amid war risks The South African rand and other emerging market

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USD/JPY forecast: shooting star forms after Japan GDP data

The USD/JPY exchange rate pulled back slightly, moving from this week’s high of 158.85 to 157 as geopolitical tensions fell and after Japan published strong macro data. So, what next for the pair ahead of the upcoming US inflation report? Japan published strong GDP data The USD/JPY exchange rate pulled back as the US dollar

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Why Europe’s energy bill is crushing euro and fueling dollar demand?

For a brief stretch earlier this year, the euro traded comfortably above $1.20. Investors were talking up Europe’s defence spending plans, big-ticket infrastructure projects and a more confident post-pandemic recovery. That optimism evaporated almost overnight. The war in the Middle East revived one of the euro’s oldest vulnerabilities: energy dependence. Crude oil surged toward $100

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Here’s why the ASX 200 Index and AUD/USD are rising this week

The Australian dollar, local bonds, and the ASX Composite are rising this month as the country becomes an unusual haven among investors.  The AUD/USD exchange rate jumped to its highest point since 2022, while the ten-year government bond yields dropped from this week’s high of 5% to the current 4.80%.  Similarly, the ASX 200 Index,

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USD/TRY forecast: Lira rises ahead of the Turkish Central Bank decision

The Turkish lira rose slightly this week as traders waited for the upcoming CBRT interest rate decision, as the crisis in the Middle East continued. The USD/TRY exchange rate retreated to 44 from the year-to-date high of 44.10. Turkish Central Bank interest rate decision  The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) will be

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